[Update 06/23/2021 8:00AM]:
Tropical Disturbance 1
What we know:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands remain disorganized. Additional development of this system is unlikely while moving west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph into an area of stronger upper-level winds by Thursday.
What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?
Formation chance through 48 hours: 10 percent (Low).
Formation chance through 5 days: 10 percent (Low).